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Washington Commanders 2022 NFL Betting Preview: Carson Wentz Predictions to Take Over

Post-action betting is gambling for the 2022 NFL season ReleasesNational Football LeaguePreview of all 32 teams. Covers schedules, forecasts, total over / under picks for all teams and proposition bets. Today I'm going to talk about the Washington Commanders. Be sure to check out thePittsburgh Steelers previewreleased yesterday.

Washington Commanders (66/1 to win the Super Bowl,BetMGM)

2021 Record:7-10 ( 3rd place NFC East)

Ron Rivera will return to his third season with Washington, who made a splash this offseason with QB Carson Wentz from Indianapolis Colts. 

Rivera hopes Wentz will be a differentiator in Washington, which proved to be a very up-and-down team last season. After starting 2-2, he lost 5 out of 6 and finished season 1-4 with 4 consecutive victories. Washington will soon lose edge rusher Chase Young. Chase Young is still recovering from the ACL breaks he suffered in the 10th week of last season. 

Rivera also needs to improve the team's path defense. Last season, Washington wasFootball outsiders. According to com, he was ranked 28th in the pass DVOA and finished 7th in the rush DVOA. However, the latter ranking is primarily based on a match against Young, as Washington struggled to run without putting Ohio State University products on the field.

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Commander Off-Season Movement: Draft, Trade, Free Agent Signature, Injury Report

  • Indianapolis Colts to QB Carson Wentz + Earn 3 Draft Topics Draft Topic
  • Draft Penstate WR Jahandottson (No. 16), Alabama DT Fidarian Mathis (No. 45), Alabama RB Brian Robinson Jr. (No. 98), Louisiana-Lafayette S Percy Butler (No. 113), North Carolina QB Sam Howell (No. 144), Nevada TE Coulterner (No. 149), Tarsa G Christian Homes (No. 230), Oklahoma CB Christian Homes (No. 240) 
  • Signature WR Alex Ericsson, G Trainer, CB Devante Cross, Josh Drayden, Devin Taylor, TE Curtis Hodges&Armani Rogers.

Commander 2022 Schedule

Week 1: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 2: Detroit Lions

Third Week: vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Week 4: Dallas Cowboys

Week 5: Against Tennessee Titans

Week 6: Chicago Bears 

Week 7: vs. Green Bay Packers

Week 8: Indianapolis Colts

Week 9: vs. Minnesota Vikings

Week 10: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 11: Houston Texans

Week 12: vs. Atlanta Falcons

Week 13: New York Giants

Week 14: BYE

Week 15: vs. New York Giants

Week 16: San Francisco 49ers

Week 17: vs. Cleveland Browns

Week 18: vs. Dallas Cowboys

Chase Young
Getty Images

NFL Betting Line: Commander Total O / U Earn

8.5 wins (FanDuel)

This total win pours a lot of juice into the undersold for sale at -170 at the time of this writing. I'm out. Betters interested in overs can get a juicy +145. 

But I'm a little surprised how confident the bookmakers are that the commander wasn't able to clear this sum of victories. Based on my action colleague Sean Kellner'sschedule prediction strength, the Commanders will enter the 2022-23 season with the NFL's third easiest schedule. 

In addition, most of their tripwire matches take place at home – 7th week with Green Bay, 9th week with Minnesota, and 18th week with Dallas. Regarding their load schedule, I believe the rest are winning games featuring single-digit spreads, with the exception of San Francisco and Dallas (assuming perfect health).

The addition of Wentz, who ranked 16th in all quarterbacks at last year's DVOA, isFootball outsiders. According to com, it should help Washington's attack, which was ranked 21st in Team DVOA last season. If that happens, the commander will undoubtedly like the look of the schedule, which features eight games against teams ranked in the lower half of Team Defensive DVOA last season. 

In addition, based on the commander's past results, I would like to ask further questions about prices here. In the last two seasons under Rivera, the commander has won seven games. 

Can they improve by winning two with a competent quarterback and a weak schedule? 

Of course. Despite his flaws, Wentz should help balance this offensive attack and lead the commander to exceed the sum of this victory. 

DE Chase Young may have missed the first part of the season, but I'm not going to overreact to its absence. Last season, Washington played 4-4 without the Ohio State University Edge Rusher. 

For all these reasons, we will carry over Washington's total wins up to +115. 

Commander O / U 8.5 wins: Pick

8.5 wins or more (+145) 

Carson Wentz
Getty Images

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Carson Wentz TD over 21.5 Passage (-112,FanDuel)

After buying Wentz, the commander expects him to be the focus of the attack. .. That belief should lead Wentz to surpass the 21.5 touchdown prop this season.  

Beyond that oversimplified theory, there are supporting statistics that further point out that Wentz clears this benchmark. First, under Rivera, Washington proved mediocre to establish a run. Last season, they were ranked 19th in the rushing DVOA. In the previous season,Football outsiders. According to com 

, it was 14th. In addition, Antonio Gibson and J. D. Both Macchisic have established themselves as reliable receivers from the backfield. Of the 57 running backs that received at least 25 passes last season, both were ranked 25th or higher in the defensive adjustment yard above the exchange. 

Washington is actively striving to use its back in pass games, with the ball often falling into Wentz's hands, especially near the Red Zone.  

Finally, despite all his perceived flaws, Wentz cleared this number in two of his last three seasons.Based on these trends, we will back up this market to -125.