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UFC Vegas Fight Night Picks, Predictions, Parley Today: Jamahar Hill vs Thiago Santos

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions will be streamed live from Las Vegas, Nevada.

Tonight's UFC card will air live on the ESPN network and ESPN+, starting at 6pm.

Back at the UFC APEX Center having just finished the profitable UFC 277 and their little cage. This card won't blow anyone's hair out, but there are still some interesting fights to analyze. Includes some other fighters that look like However, there are still some bets worth targeting there.

I've had a small problem in the last 5 weeks. We made a profit of 31.64 units, but it dropped to a profit of 26.81 units. However, we made a profit last week, so there are some betting spots worth aiming for today.

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Today's UFC Fight Night Vegas picks and predictions

Jamahar Hill (-300) vs. Thiago Santos (+240)

, light heavyweight Jamahal Hill faces former contender Thiago Santos. He is one of the biggest favorites of his career this weekend, despite being profiled by Santos as a competitive step-up.

Hill has displayed tremendous punching power, with four of his five wins in the UFC being his KOs with punches. Hill submitted against Paul Craig in one of the most brutal finishes the UFC has seen. Viewer discretion is advised when searching.

Craig is a jiu-jitsu master, and Hill's lack of skill on the mat is a bit exaggerated. Additionally, Santos isn't a threat to submit from his back, so as long as Hill stays calm and lands a body shot that kills his opponent's gas tank, he should roll here. 64}

Zuffa LLC

Overall, Santos has largely been the division's gatekeeper since undergoing multiple knee surgeries.

Hill is too big a favorite on his moneyline to be worth betting there. Instead, he receives a KO flyer from Hill. Santos has been very cautious lately to avoid damage early. It will probably survive longer than the oddsmakers think. The fight to finish in round 1 is +145 (40.82% implied) on his FanDuel, which is ridiculous.

In rounds 2 or 3 he wins by KO/TKO Hill is +350 inFanDuel, assuming Santos goes into a small amount of survival mode midway through the first round , is more or less a flyer. Otherwise feel free to pass on this main event at light heavyweight.

UFC Fight Night Vegas picks

Betting on sports.

Jeff Neil (+155) vs. Bisentelke (-190)

A very enjoyable co-main featuring Bisentelke and Jeff Neil His event runs at £170. Both fighters are billed as absolute scrapers who don't hesitate to take damage in blow exchanges.

Luke is a legitimate favorite here, as he has the ability to finish on the ground and on his feet, unlike Neil. Neil has not finished since his 2017 win over Kevin Holland by KO. It has also not been submitted since 2013.

Vicente Luque submits Michael Chiesa
Zuffa LLC

An interesting data point here is that both fighters It means you haven't finished. A career despite having 27 combined UFC fights. Surely Luke could have brought this fight to the mat and looked for his favorite anaconda or Dulce his choke.

However, he usually targets that choke when his opponent shoots first for a takedown. Luque rarely resorts to wrestling to score takedowns or submissions. He hasn't had a successful takedown since his 2017, according to UFC Stats.

Consider this fight to be a three-round stand-up his war where Luque does more damage and emerges victorious. This can be caused by a decision or a delayed stop. The bets below are a surefire way to bet on this fight tonight.

UFC Fight Night Vegas Picks

UFC Fight Night Vegas Parley

This bet was placed on BetMGM Sportsbook. That user will receive a UFC parlay token boost (20% boost) on all parlays of 3 or more legs. (Offers may vary, check promotions page for eligibility).

+403 to +501: Usman/Pauga distance +110 + Luque ML (-190) + Lipsky/Cachoeira (-175)