The 2022-23 English Premier League season will begin on Friday afternoon with a London derby between Arsenal and Crystal Palace at friendly Selhurst Park. Open. Arsenal at -120 road he checked into the match as a favourite, while Palace sits at +340 home as his underdog. The current price for the draw is +275.
Most fans, punters and analysts have high hopes for Arsenal this season. After a shaky start to 2021-22, the Gunners have gone 15-1-9 (win-draw-lose) with a +15 goal difference in their last 25 games. Their underlying metrics supported a surge in form as Arsenal registered a +19.6 Expected Goals (xG) difference over the span.
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Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace odds, predicted
By the end of the season, the Gunners were fifth in points. , goal difference, expected points, xG difference.
It's been a pretty encouraging season for Mikel Arteta's young team, given how they started, and the media frenzy that followed that slow start. have had a busy summer and have added top players such as Gabriel Jesus, Fabio Vieira and Oleksandr Zinchenko to an already talented squad, so there is certainly a step forward in Arsenal's card and it looks like they have a good chance of challenging the champions. is. league spot.
But if things are going in the right direction Even Arsenal should. Not so short against a very dangerous Crystal Palace team.
Under the radar, Palace were probably the most impressive team outside the Premier League Big 6 last year. Despite finishing 12th, the Eagles were the 7th best goal difference, the 6th best xG difference, and the 4th best team at preventing big scoring chances. ranked 4th in xG ahead of Arsenal in the 2018 season, having actually lost one game less than the Gunners in 2021-22.
And while defense is the calling card for Crystal in his Palace, scoring ability is plentiful in the roster, which also includes Wilfried Zaha, Everechiez, Michael Olise and Odonne Edouard.
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Arsenal are the obvious favorites and will outperform Palace over the course of a 38-game season. The gap between his two teams is not as great as the odds suggest.
Since 2012, the Premier League team to score +200 or more in the first week of his season has gone 23-71 to him, making a decent profit despite a 24% winning percentage. I'm here. If you bet $100 on every dog that closed +200 or more in the season opener, you would have won $2,450.
Palace were a great side at home last season, with big wins over Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester United. Overlook the Eagles at your own risk.
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace Pick
Crystal Palace +350 — Fan Duel
