United Kingdom

Covid-19: Postcode-searching tool breaks down deaths in all neighbourhoods in England and Wales

Just 14 postcodes in England and Wales have suffered zero Covid deaths since the start of the pandemic, official data that breaks down fatalities in all 7,200 neighbourhoods in the countries has shown.

Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures released today show Crabtree and Fir Vale in Sheffield had the most excess deaths — the amount of deaths above the five-year average — during the first wave pandemic, recording 123 deaths between March and July 2020. It was 77 more than the average of 46, an excess of 167 per cent.

Meanwhile the West St Leonards area of Hastings suffered the most victims in the second wave, with 184 deaths between September and March, 55 per cent more than the average for that time of the year.

But 14 areas in Bristol, Cornwall, East Devon, the Isles of Scilly, Leeds, Manchester, Devon, Somerset, Plymouth, Oxfordshire and Conwy recorded no fatalities at all.

And the figures appeared to show a huge urban rural divide, with inner city areas in London, Essex and Manchester suffering the highest excess deaths across the pandemic.

Separate data from the ONS released today showed England and Wales recorded a three-month high in Covid deaths in the week ending July 23. 

There were 327 deaths in the countries, the highest total since April 16, when 362 were recorded. 

However, experts today said Britain may now be 'over the hill' in terms of deaths, which lag around 14 days after cases. Infections have been falling for nearly two weeks in both countries and hospitalisations also appear to have peaked. 

Daily coronavirus cases plunged to a five-week low yesterday, with England's infections down to 19,175 — the fewest since June 29 (16,802). 

Some 14 postcodes in England and Wales suffered no Covid deaths since the start of the pandemic, official data that breaks down fatalities in all 7,200 neighbourhoods in the countries has shown. Graph shows: The amount of Covid and non-Covid deaths in England and Wales from January 3, 2020, to July 23, 2021

WHAT ARE THE 14 AREAS OF ENGLAND AND WALES WITH NO COVID DEATHS SINCE THE START OF THE PANDEMIC?

  • Bristol City Centre, Bristol 
  • Hartcliffe, Bristol 
  • Llandudno Junction South and Llasanffraid Glan Conwy, Conwy 
  • Mid Saltash, Cornwall 
  • Torpoint, Cornwall 
  • Dunkesewell, Upottery and Stockland, East Devon 
  • Isles of Scilly, Isles of Scilly 
  • Leeds City Centre, Leeds 
  • Castlefield and Deansgate, Manchester 
  • Barnstaple Sticklepath, North Devon 
  • Weston Winterstoke, North Somerset 
  • Tamerton Foliot, Plymouth 
  • Eynsham & Stanton Harcourt, West Oxfordshire 
  • Dunster, Dulverton and Exmoor, West Somerset 

The ONS data released today broke down the monthly excess deaths in middle layer super output areas (MSOA) for the first time ever.

Crabtree and Fir Vale recorded the most Covid deaths from March 2020 to April 2021 with 78. It was followed by West St Leonard (71), Walton and Frinton Coastal in Tendring (70) and Haywards Heath West in Mid Sussex (67).

However, reviewing the percentage of excess deaths presents a different picture, with urban areas in London and the South East suffering the highest tolls. 

Stamford Hill North in Hackney, east London, had the highest proportion with fatalities 285 per cent above the five year average during the first wave of the pandemic.

It was followed by Forest Gate South in Newham, south London (263 per cent), Purfleet, South Stifford and Lakesde in Thurrock, Essex (226 per cent) and Tottenham Green West and Canary Wharf, London (both 200 per cent). 

In the second wave, Aldershot Town in Hampshire had the highest excess deaths, with rates 208 per cent above the five year average.

Old Oak and Wormwood in Hammersmith, London, followed with deaths 200 per cent higher than average, while Lozells East and Balsall Heath East in Birmingham had rates of 194 per cent and 181 per cent.  

A total of 155,133 deaths have now occurred in the UK where Covid was mentioned on the death certificate, the ONS said.

The highest number of deaths to occur on a single day was 1,484 on January 19.

During the first wave of the virus, the daily toll peaked at 1,461 deaths on April 8 2020.

A total of 35 care home resident deaths involving Covid in England and Wales were registered in the week to July 23, up from 27 deaths in the previous week.

In total, 42,649 care home residents in England and Wales have had Covid recorded on their death certificate since the pandemic began.

The ONS figures cover deaths of care home residents in all settings, not just in care homes. 

In a sign that fatalities may start to flatten out or even fall within the next week, Covid hospital admissions fell by nearly 20 per cent in England. Some 593 infected patients were admitted for medical treatment on July 31, the most recent day NHS figures are available for. For comparison, 734 patients were hospitalised the previous Saturday

Covid weekly deaths in England and Wales at three-month high — but is likely to fall

The number of deaths involving coronavirus registered each week in England and Wales has climbed to its highest level for three months.

A total of 327 deaths registered in the week ending July 23 mentioned Covid-19 on the death certificate, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This is up 50 per cent on the previous week, and is the highest number since 362 deaths were registered in the week to April 16. Deaths dipped as low as 84 in the week to June 11.

The latest figures reflect the impact of the third wave of Covid, which began in the UK in May and led to a sharp increase in the number of new cases of coronavirus as well as a smaller rise in hospital patients.

The number of new cases has fallen in recent weeks, but this is yet to be reflected in the data for deaths, due to the length of time between someone getting Covid-19, becoming seriously ill and then dying.

While the number of deaths in the latest week is the highest for three months, it is still well below the level seen at the peak of the second wave.

The data showing the scale of deaths across England and Wales comes as Jamie Jenkins, the former head of health statistics at the ONS, said the countries may now be 'over the hill now when it comes to deaths'. 

Speaking on LBC this morning, Mr Jenkins said: '[Cases] in England and Wales have been coming down since July 19.

'The cases have been falling for a couple of weeks there, then you get that time-lag effect when cases start coming down, around five or six days later you start seeing hospital admissions come down.

'And then you start seeing deaths come down.

'I think looking at the data, we normally see deaths peaking around 14 days after cases come down, I think we might start being over the hill now when it comes to deaths.'

Mr Jenkins added: 'We probably are over the edge of the wave at the moment but let's have a bit of caution as we go into the autumn period.'

His comments echo Professor Paul Hunter, an infectious disease expert from the University of East Anglia, who last night claimed it will take 'another week or so' for deaths across the UK to fall in line with hospitalisations and cases. 

But he warned infections may now start to flatten out as people start to mix more and the effects of Freedom Day continue. 

Professor Hunter said: 'We can now see that in England new admissions to hospital have peaked. 

'It will take another week or so before we see any impact on reported deaths.

'The fact that hospital admissions are now falling provides further evidence that the decline in cases in the last couple of weeks was real and not due to an artefact from changing testing or people deleting the NHS Covid app as some have suggested.'

Football news:

Ronaldo, please, can you stop? It would make my day off. Cristiano was photographed with a boy at the entrance to the Manchester United base
Savich about the referee in the game with Athletic: It's not normal to show 15 cards for every word. Felix had no intention of touching anyone
Tim Sherwood: It will be difficult for Werner at Chelsea. He must show Tuchel that he has more than just good press
Klattenburg on Klopp: He does not know how to lose. When things went wrong, he began to get annoyed
Guardiola on the City fans after 0:0: I feel guilty at a bad game. I will be grateful even if 85 people come
Arteta about the series Ted Lasso: It gives a different perspective - you can look at things from different sides
Marca dashes evaluated the game of Suarez and Felix in the match with Athletic