It's been weeks since Wales' coronavirus status has changed.
Most of us are able to live our lives with only a few, relatively minor intrusions.
But case rates are now exceptionally high in Wales - coronavirus infection rate has now reached the highest level since the pandemic began - and in recent days ministers have told us the current peak hasn't yet passed, and case numbers aren't yet declining as happened in Scotland and as ministers are watching for.
Every three weeks, Wales has a review of its restrictions. While the most recent ones haven't made any changes, but it's unclear yet how this week's announcement will go. The First Minister has hinted that he wants to give the modelling time to be proved right and that effort is going to be put into getting more people to have their vaccination booster. Officials are hoping that Wales will follow Scotland with the peak being reached and a decline in cases following.
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The next review will take place this coming week with full details available on Friday, October 29.
However, figures here are high. Wales now has the second highest Covid infection rate in Europe and the fourth highest in the world.
How will they decide?
Welsh Government has said that any change back to restrictions will not be on a simple formula.
There will be no single trigger, the First Minister has said. He said that the impact on the NHS is "clearly the major one, the extent to which coronavirus is leading to hospitalisation. use of intensive care, and so on." But he said the impact of large numbers of people being off which affects how public services are running will be another factor.
We know there are huge concerns about schools and staffing, however, this week is half term which could act as an unofficial firebreak as large groups of children and won't be mixing in the same way for the week of the holidays.
Health minister Eluned Morgan said just that this week. "At the moment the rates [of Covid] are really high in Wales, and we're hoping the half-term holiday will bring a degree of relief because at the moment, many of the cases are among our younger, school-aged children."
Will there be a change coming to place?
In short, it's too early to say.
The Welsh Government cabinet, the group of senior ministers appointed by Mark Drakeford, will meet in the coming days ahead of Friday's announcement. They've always said they will look at the data and make a decision based on the most recent data - and as we've learnt, five days is a long time with coronavirus.
On Thursday, Mark Drakeford told us that the rising cases are "worrying" but "dramatic actions" weren't yet needed.
When asked about comments he made to us at the time of the last review where he said Christmas this year would look pretty much as we're used to, he said he was no more pessimistic that would still be the case.
So that's good news.
However, the following day his health minister Eluned Morgan said she would not rule out further restrictions this winter.
When asked about whether restrictions would need to be brought in, she said: "I don't want to make any promises because rates are extremely high at the moment. We are not seeing the kind of reduction that we were hoping to see, like they have seen in Scotland.
"We will keep an eye on the situation. We hope that we will be able to not have the restrictions that we have seen before, but it is up to the Welsh public play their part as well and try and mix outdoors as much as possible, make sure there is ventilation, wash their hands.
What might happen?
Welsh Government could announce changes to things like household mixing but that feels like a huge step, especially given the current situation in England where Boris Johnson is resisting pressure to reintroduce restrictions. Don't forget, almost all restrictions are lifted in England, which isn't the case here where we still have to wear masks inside and show Covid Passes at certain types of events.
Earlier in the month Mr Drakeford said that the modelling was showing that "it is most likely that we will be able to continue into the autumn and winter with no more restrictions than we have in place at the moment."
But when we asked him what the first things to change could be if they needed to, he said the following: "Using masks in more settings, requiring the Covid pass to be used in more settings, more emphasis on people, meeting in safer context outdoors and so on, right up to the point which we don't anticipate getting to where we will be back with a sort of restrictions we had to use last year."
But, Mr Drakeford has hinted they may spend this review period getting vaccination numbers up and hope that the modelling Welsh Government is following rings true. He told us this week that he wants a campaign to make sure people are taking up their vaccinations.
As part of the NHS trust's daily coronavirus update on Friday, October 22, it was revealed that 322,591 people have had the booster jab in Wales to date.
The First Minister said: "Vaccination is the biggest defence and I have been talking with our officials today about what we can do to make sure that the booster programme is rolled out as fast as it's clinically safe to do so and I'm likely to be talking to UK Government ministers later in the afternoon about how we can jointly run some campaign activity to persuade people to come forward and take the boosters.
"We haven't extracted everything we can from the measures we already taken. We will want to do more on that. We will want to ensure our vaccination programme is reaching as many people as quickly as we can".
What can we do?
Welsh Government is clear - get vaccinated and keep doing the small things like washing your hands.
The plan laying out the approach for autumn and winter said as much. "It’s never too late to have your first or second Covid vaccines. The booster will be offered to everyone in priority groups one to nine, at least six months after they had their second dose. It’s also important that we all carry on doing the small things which keep us and our loved ones safe – washing our hands regularly; meeting outdoors where possible; working from home if we can; wearing a face covering in indoor public places and keeping indoor spaces well ventilated."
What's happening in England?
UK Health Secretary Sajid Javid has warned that restrictions could return in England if people don't change their behaviour in the days ahead. And Professor Stephen Powis, NHS England’s national medical director, has warned we are likely to see regional variation in Covid rates and pressures - hinting that local action may be needed. Read more of what they had to say here.
The UK Government has a "plan B" which is a reintroduction of rules and guidance abandoned in the summer, that includes things like using vaccine passports for clubs and big events, having to wear masks indoors again and people asked to work from home.
Many of those are already in place in Wales, for example you need to show a Covid Pass for large events, have to wear a mask indoors and on public transport.
Thus far Boris Johnson is resisting calls to put England's Plan B into action.
“The numbers of infections are high but we are within the parameters of what the predictions were, what Spi-M [modelling group] and the others said we would be at this stage given the steps we are taking. We are sticking with our plan," he said on Thursday, October 21.
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