Newcastle United are now one of the bookmakers' favourites to be relegated in May after finding themselves cut adrift at the foot of the table.
With the nerves starting to jangle a little bit, United were hit with another unwanted statistic after their 1-1 draw with Norwich City when fans learned that no side had ever stayed up after failing to win their first 14 Premier League matches.
But fans won't stop believing until the fight is lost.
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Brushing aside the panicky narrative that is already starting to sprout up across the media, Newcastle CAN still stave off relegation if they put their minds to it.
It might be tight but I think 10 wins will be needed from the remaining 24 matches and there's always scope for a bonus draw here and there too.
However, 10 wins to go with the seven points Newcastle have in the bank already would take them to 37 points.
That would have been more than enough to keep United up last season with Fulham finishing third-bottom on 28 points.
It was 34 points from AFC Bournemouth in 2019/20 that took them down in third-bottom as Aston Villa pipped them by a point.
And in 2019 Cardiff slipped out of the top division with 34 points too, meaning the situation is very much still in Newcastle's hands despite the rotten start.
Here are the 10 games Newcastle should be targeting to earn those maximum hauls.
1) Burnley, Saturday, St James' Park
This is the big one as it would be Newcastle's first win of the season and would put them back in touch with the bottom six and bring them level on points with the Clarets.
Sean Dyche's men are hard to beat but they have only won once themselves this season and despite the fact we're being told Newcastle are doomed Burnley are only three points ahead of the Magpies.
Crossing our fingers we don't see another self-destruct job in the early stages and get a man sent off on Saturday, Newcastle have the fan power to help drive the team home.
And Allan Saint-Maximin seems to like playing against the Clarets after a couple of goals in both fixtures last term.
Callum Wilson also grabbed a brace in last year's 3-1 win at St James' behind closed doors.
Newcastle need to look no further than the vibes from the double haul last season ahead of this weekend.
2) Man United, December 27, St James' Park
This one may raise eyebrows but despite a new managerial appointment in Ralf Rangnick at Old Trafford, this is hardly a vintage Man United team.
They were flattered by a 4-1 scoreline in autumn in the home leg and have been stuffed 5-0 at home to Liverpool before losing 4-1 at Watford.
And this time, compared with the Ronaldo love in last September in front of the Stretford End, it will be very different at an already sold out St James' Park were a merry holiday crowd will be waiting for the Red Devils in this 8pm kick off.
Newcastle are capable of raising their game here and taking the points if they put their minds to it.
3) Southampton, January 2, St Mary's Stadium
The Saints have suffered patchy form themselves this season already and look to me like one of the sides that might get dragged into trouble.
They face some tough away fixtures at Palace, Arsenal and West Ham before this fixture plus a South Coast derby with Brighton, Brentford and then Spurs at home before Newcastle see in the new year.
The 20 goals they have conceded already could be bloated further and confidence may be dented.
There's definitely three big points up for grabs here.
4) Watford, January 15, St James' Park
This game takes place after FA Cup third round weekend and what an opportunity it is to start 2022 in winning style at home.
Newcastle should have beaten Watford handsomely at Vicarage Road but wasted a hatful of chances and Jacob Murphy's late sitter then cost them dear.
This one will be different.
5) Everton, February 9, St James' Park
Whether this is Rafa Benitez's return to Tyneside in the Everton dugout is up for debate at the moment.
But even then, given the Toffees' form this season they are more than beatable.
United's record against Everton is hit and miss at St James' but there's been three wins since 2015 and again the fans can play their part.
6) Aston Villa, February 15, St James' Park
Steven Gerrard used to haunt the Geordie crowd as a player but how will he do as a manager?
By this time the new manager bounce will be done and dusted for both Villa and Newcastle.
Villa have started reasonably under Gerrard but this one is another game Newcastle's coaching team should relish.
Imagine what back to back wins in February could do for United's season.
7) Brentford, February 26, Brentford Community Stadium
This could be a key month for United's survival chances and by this time the Bees could be feeling the pace of their first top-flight season.
It's a game in which Newcastle could just be capable of taking advantage of that mid-season weariness for Brentford.
And don't forget, the Magpies still owe the London club one for the League Cup exit last term.
8) Brighton & Hove Albion, March 5, St James' Park
Another chance to collect back to back wins here is up for grabs for Howe's side.
The Seagulls held Newcastle last month as Howe watched from the stands and while Graham Potter has done a remarkable job to guide Brighton to seventh place and into European contention, you wonder how long it can last.
For all the talk of a ridiculously tough run-in for Newcastle, they could still be in touching distance of safety before that horror late campaign fixture list starts to unravel.
Although they'd have to be good for three points here.
9) Crystal Palace, March 19, St James' Park
This one comes off the back of a tough trip to Chelsea where the European champions will be the clear favourites.
Newcastle will probably therefore walk out as the wounded animal against Palace.
Having already picked up a point at Selhurst Park, a win here would represent a respectable tally of four points from six against the Eagles this term.
10) Norwich, April 23, Carrow Road
Let's just say the Canaries might be feeling the pace at this stage and Newcastle may well have rediscovered their confidence.
The reality is United should have won against Norwich in midweek had it not been for a red card.
This is the perfect chance for an away win before those tougher fixtures at the end of the season.
Lee Ryder's overall verdict
When you consider Newcastle will strengthen in January this list of 10 wins is more than achievable for Eddie Howe and his staff.
The list of victories also doesn't include home games against Wolves or Leicester nor the final day away trip to Burnley.
And you just never know in games against the top six with Newcastle.
That said with Liverpool (h), Man City (a) and Arsenal (h) in three of the last four games before that clash at Turf Moor, a big February and positive March could mean Newcastle are out of trouble before then.
Things might look daunting from where we sit now but there's more than enough points to play for and plenty of winnable scenarios on offer for the Magpies.
In short, don't start making travel plans for Luton or Hull just yet.
It's all to play for.
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