LONG WALK HURDLE
JUST the six line up for the Long Walk Hurdle so let’s take a close look at where each runner passes and fails the trends test.
AGRAPART: Is the right age at eight but falls short in not having won on his most recent start. A plus is his win over three miles as that is an important trend but he is just 145 on official ratings which is too low.
L’AMI SERGE: Didn’t win last time and is coming back from 580 days off when most winners of this have had a recent run. His Ascot win is a plus but has plenty to find on trends and is too old at nine.
PAISLEY PARK: The clear trends pick having won this race last season, so is proven over course and distance. He won last time and ran just 22 days ago.
THE WORLDS END: Looks the best each-way bet in the race given he has a distance win and is the right age at eight.
TOBEFAIR: Is a distance winner and has a recent run under his belt. Being a nine-year-old is a negative on the trends.
VERDICT: PAISLEY PARK is a short price but looks very hard to beat. A forecast with The Worlds End looks the most likely trends pick.